Monday, May 23, 2011

Statement Analysis of Harold Camping

    Question for analysis:

    Did Harold Camping spend his entire retirement account on advertising for May 21 as did some of the followers, the Campingites? Can we know from his own words?


    Interview from May 11, 2011.  Statement Analysis is in bold type.  Bold type and underlining is added for emphasis.  Camping's words are in italics.  The same principles used here are in all analysis.  If you are new to Statement Analysis, please see some of the "101" entries for basic understanding of red flags and sensitivity indicators.


    We've followed with interest the Christian movement that believes Judgment Day will occur on May 21. They've put up billboards, they've handed out fliers. Some of them have even burned through all of their savings, so convinced are they that the world is going to end on May 21 and they'll no longer need it. That's the most incredible part of this bizarre story — that these people are so sure about something so incredibly unlikely. How can that be? To find out, we went right to the source: Harold Camping, the gravely voiced, 89-year-old founder of Family Radio; the man who pinpointed May 21 as the exact date of the "end" based on clues sprinkled throughout the Bible. He is very confident in his prediction.

    Question:   How certain are you that world is going to end on May 21 — do you have any doubts?

    Camping:  God has given sooo much information in the Bible about this, and so many proofs, and so many signs, that we know it is absolutely going to happen without any question at all. There’s nothing in the Bible that God has ever prophesied — there’s many things that he prophesied would happen and they always have happened — but there’s nothing in the Bible that holds a candle to the amount of information to this tremendous truth of the end of the world. I would be absolutely in rebellion against God if I thought anything other than it is absolutely going to happen without any question.

    Note that repetition shows sensitivity.  "so" is repeated regarding the volume of material regarding what he believes to be "end times" prophesy.  
    Note that "absolutely" is, when used in addition, an actual weakening, but when it is repeated (sensitivity) it further weakens.  It is similar to someone who finally asks, "who are you trying to convince, me, or yourself?".  In the last sentence, he repeats "absolutely" but then adds in the further weakening of assertion with "without any question", indicating his own doubts.  This is consistent with his prior statement where he shows doubt over his conviction. \


    Always note the word "but" as that which follows is important, and may even rebut what can prior. 

    Question:  But you were wrong the first time you predicted that the end of the world would take place in September of 1994. So you must think, in the back of your mind, that maybe you can’t actually predict when the end of the world will be.

    Camping:  In 1992, two years earlier than that, I had already begun to see that there was a good likelihood that 2011 would be the end, but at that time when my research in the Bible was not nearly complete — there were whole books of the Bible that I had not gone through yet very carefully — I thought that at that time that there was a possibility it might be 1994, and so I wrote a book, 1994?, but I put a big question mark after it, and in the book it also indicated that 2011 was also a good possibility. And so it was just a preliminary study that I've been able to complete during the last fifteen years.


    Note when someone 'begins' an activity but does not conclude it as sensitive. 
    Note that his research was not "nearly" complete, yet for the "whole books" he had not "gone through" only, rather than study "whole" books.  "Research" is reduced to "going through"; note the change of language.  This is a likely indicator of deception. 
    Note that by adding in the "?" he left himself an out, but for the May 21 date, there is none. 
    Note "so, since, therefore, because" is sensitive as it explains 'why' rather than what happened.  The entire question of being wrong in 1992 is sensitive to the subject as he avoids answering it, though it was not posed as a question, but a challenge

    Question:  Describe to me what exactly you expect to happen on May 21.

    This is a good question, especially since the Scripture itself denies anyone knowing the day nor the hour, and Camping said "May 21, 6PM EST" to his followers.

    Camping:  I know reporters don’t like to hear from the Bible, but the Bible has every word in the original language — it was written by God. Incidentally, no churches believe that at all, they don’t hold the Bible in the high respect that it ought to be. But every word was written right from the lips of God, and God declares: [Camping reads various passages ] In other words, when we get to May 21 on the calendar in any city or country in the world, and the clock says about — this is based on other verses in the Bible — when the clock says about 6 p.m., there’s going to be this tremendous earthquake that’s going to make the last earthquake in Japan seem like nothing in comparison. And the whole world will be alerted that Judgment Day has begun. And then it will follow the sun around for 24 hours. As each area of the world gets to that point of 6 p.m. on May 21, then it will happen there, and until it happens, the rest of the world will be standing far off and witnessing the horrible thing that is happening.


    Deception indicated.  


    Note that many churches hold to divine inspiration of Scripture in original languages; yet here he claims "no churches" but then the additional words show his own weakness "at all".  Like the hyperbole of deceptive people he makes the sweeping statement yet cannot help but add additional words that out of the abundance of the heart, the mouth speaks:  the extra words reveal the lack of conviction in the words.  This is the norm of deceptive people (see the former FBI investigator's extreme use of hyperbole regarding Amanda Knox for sample of a need to deceive)
    Note that from God's "lips" comes this information, yet regarding the time, he can only say "about" 6PM, without exact precision of divinity.  



    Question:  What will you be doing on that day? Are you just waiting for the earthquake, are you having some kind of ceremony?

    Compound questions are to be avoided as they allow the subject to pick and choose which to answer; note also the introduction of new words should be avoided. 

    Camping:  There’ll be no gatherings of any kind that I have anything to do with. There'll be no — it’ll just be simply waiting, and the likelihood is that I'll be doing what everybody else will be doing, which is listening to the radio or watching TV, seeing what is happening as it begins on the other side of the world.


    Note that the additional words "that I have anything to do with" indicates knowledge of gatherings by his followers.  
    Note that "no" has broken sentence, meaning that he caught himself and is leaving out information.  
    Note that he says what "everybody else" would be doing:  hyperbole employed again.  Not "everybody" was watching TV or listening to radio, nor even knew about his claims.  This shows the egotistical view point he holds and highlights the need for exaggeration. 

    Question:   If six o’clock rolls around and there are no major earthquakes, are you going to start to get worried?

    The question is:  "are you going to worry'?


    Answer:  It’s going to happen. It’s going to happen. I don’t even think about those kind of issues. The Bible is not — God is not playing games. I don’t even want to think about that question at all. It is going to happen.


    Note that the question about "worry" is not answered.  In Statement Analysis, when a question is not answered, it is to be considered a sensitive question.  
    Note that when someone tells us what didn't happen, or what wasn't thought, it is highly sensitive and should be flagged for deception.  Note that he tells us what he did not think (in the negative) and reports what the Bible is not (negative) and that God does not (negative) playing games.  Note that he does not want (in the negative) to think about the question "at all".   The negation shows:


    he has acute worry about his prediction and is deceptive in his response.  He does not answer the question honestly. 


    "those" shows distance, while "these" show closeness. These questions are anxiety-producing and he seeks to distance himself from them.  The answer shows deception. 

    Question:  You haven’t thought about what you’ll tell your followers on May 22 if the Rapture doesn’t take place?

    Camping:   I’m not even thinking about that at all. It. Is. Going. To. Happen. Because I trust the Bible implicitly, the Bible is God’s word — it’s not from a man, it’s not from an organization of some kind where there’s plenty of room for error. It is the word of God. When God speaks that it is going to happen, the Bible is a very factual book, and God gives many examples of how he has made prophesies and it always has happened in exact accord with what God has prophesied.


    1.  Negation.   
    2.  Verb tense
    3.  Short, broken sentences. 


    Note what he reports in the negative as sensitive.  But note also that it is in the present tense, though the question was specific to past tense. This would indicate that at that moment, the subject was attempting not to think of it, but had in the past tense.  Lying is stressful and this means that deception is often in withholding information.  
    Note also that short choppy sentences, even when given for emphasis, show anxiety.  
    Note that "because" is highly sensitive:  in his thinking, the end must happen:  why?  Because he trusts the Bible indicating something sensitive:


    Harold Camping, in his mind, holds the key to whether or not the end will come; not God.  


    It will happen "because" of Camping's trust, his faith, his ability to believe; in his mind, he controls the destiny of planet earth.  It is within his trust that it will happen. 


    It is an old heresy.  


    "Expect a miracle, get a miracle" is a similar expression that sometimes raises itself.  It is a narcissistic statement meaning that the miracle (suspension of nature) occurs only if the subject's level of expectation is high enough.  In other words, it is not in God's Hands, but in the hands of the subject. Cancer patients who died, therefore, didn't raise their own level of expectation high enough; or at least as high as the one who received the miracle. 


    It is narcissistic. 


    So it is with Camping.  All of this would happen, he believed, because of his faith. 


    It may be that some will say 'that's not what he meant' but in Statement Analysis, we listen to the words the subject says, and now what we think he or she may have meant.  The words are chosen in less than a microsecond and are exactly what the brain told the tongue to say.  


    Note the reduction of his opinion of the Bible:  it is a "very factual" book, which is different than inerrant.  Since he claims infallibility for the Bible elsewhere, why would he refer it to as only a "very" factual, not "factual" nor "100% factual"?  This is his own deception creeping into his language.  

    Question:  So you have about ten days left on Earth. How are you spending those ten days?

    Camping:  Right now I’m up to my ears managing all the affairs of Family Radio and spending a lot of time with reporters, and spending a lot of time still doing the Open Forum every evening for an hour and a half, and still preparing messages. So I’m just very, very busy going from day to day.

    Question:  Are you going to do something with all your money before the 21st? Are you going to donate it to charity or something?

    Here is a central question:  the money.  Will you put your money where your mouth is?  This is what some of his followers did:  they spent all of their money because it would hold no value to them after 6PM local time, on May 21.  This is an excellent question.

    Camping:  What’s the point? 


    Statement Analysis:  When the subject answers a question with a question, the original question is sensitive and the subject is stalling in order to think of an answer.  


    The point is that one who knows puts their 'money where their mouth is' and it is all on the line.  For Camping, himself, we can trust that unlike his followers, he still has retirement investments in place.  Another article said that his children, grandchildren, and great grandchildren were not "Campingites" who believed the end of the world was to come on May 21.  They likely have their inheritance intact, unless Camping wrote them out of his will since they would not be "true" believers, but only "believers".  (this opens a new realm of deceptive thinking)


    Conclusion:  He believed that people would be alive, including charities, after May 21.  By not answering the question, he has 'answered the question'


    We may safely conclude that Harold Camping will not starve on May 22, 2011


    In other words, Judgment Day is the end of the world. That means that the whole world is in judgment, it will not be business as usual at all. At all. Nothing that goes on is important any longer, either if you’re a true believer and you’re caught up to be with Christ, of which there are many people that this will happen to, but on the other hand, there will be almost 7 billion people who will be in a tremendous, terrible situation undoubtedly. With those kind of earthquakes millions will die and the Bible teaches that they will not be buried, in fact there’ll be no one to bury them it’ll be so awful. It will not be business as usual at all. This world will be in chaos. It will be in awful suffering.


    Note that he knows that 7 billion people are not "true believers"


    Side note:  (not statement analysis)


    Many historic Protestants and Roman Catholics believe that the awful descriptions of judgement that were pronounced to that current generation was fulfilled literally, in the horror of the Jewish War, under Titus, in which Rome marched upon, and destroyed Jerusalem, the center of the world for divine revelation.  

    Question:  Do know for sure whether you personally will ascend to heaven on May 21?

    Answer:  Oh yes, I am very convinced because I have found in my life for a long, long time an intense, ongoing desire that I just want to do God’s will and the Bible has become super important to me and so I do believe that I will be caught up when that time comes around in California.

    Can Jewish people go to heaven?

    Anybody — it’s not a matter of what religion you belong to, but it has to do with a personal attitude, and of course, if the Jewish people will accept the whole Bible — now if they reject Christ as their messiah, which the nation of Israel is doing, as was prophesied in the Bible also …. If they’re not trusting in the Bible, they’re not listening to the whole Bible, and so they’re under the wrath of God just like anybody else who’s not trusting the whole Bible.

    So a Jew would have to believe that Jesus is the messiah.

    Well you see, the fact is that Jesus is the eternal God, and if you deny that Christ is the eternal God, then you’re not listening to the Bible. The Bible is the ultimate authority and any time you have any doctrines contrary to the Bible it means you are in rebellion against God, you’re walking in your own pride, and God resists the proud altogether.

    I know you’re convinced this is going to happen, but if May 22 comes around and you’re still here, can we talk again?

    I can’t even think about that question because you’re thinking that maybe, maybe Judgment Day will not happen. But it will happen, and I believe the Bible implicitly.

    Note that he "can't" which means he is limited, but by what?  We may conclude that since he believes that his trust will cause the events on May 21, that he is limited in what he can think about because if he entertains a doubt, it will alter the plans for the earth.  


    This is the central ego standing front and center, and is the driving motivation in his life.  It was likely formed early in his childhood, and placed him at the ultimate center of all things, including religion.  His self grandiose belief is so powerful, that he, alone, saw the 'truth' of May 21, and that he knew that "all" the millions of churches around the world were apostate, and that his "trust" would cause the events of May 21 to happen.


    Therefore, he is left to blame for the end not coming, at 6:01PM local time on May 21. 


    We may see him now fall into despair, as his 'world' has now fallen apart.  Our best guess is that his retirement account is in tact, but that he will be unable to muster the strength to write another book and set another date.


    Too much damage has come to do this again. Source URL: https://wallpaper-com.blogspot.com/2011/05/statement-analysis-of-harold-camping.html
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